A hypoxia biomarker does not predict benefit from giving chemotherapy with radiotherapy in the BC2001 randomised controlled trial.

BC2001 showed combining chemotherapy (5-FU + mitomycin-C) with radiotherapy improves loco-regional disease-free survival in patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). We previously showed a 24-gene hypoxia-associated signature predicted benefit from hypoxia-modifying radiosensitisation in BCON and hypothesised that only patients with low hypoxia scores (HSs) would benefit from chemotherapy in BC2001. BC2001 allowed conventional (64Gy/32 fractions) or hypofractionated (55Gy/20 fractions) radiotherapy. An exploratory analysis tested an additional hypothesis that hypofractionation reduces reoxygenation and would be detrimental for patients with hypoxic tumours.

RNA was extracted from pre-treatment biopsies (298 BC2001 patients), transcriptomic data generated (Affymetrix Clariom-S arrays), HSs calculated (median expression of 24-signature genes) and patients stratified as hypoxia-high or -low (cut-off: cohort median).

invasive loco-regional control (ILRC); secondary overall survival.

Hypoxia affected overall survival (HR = 1.30; 95% CI 0.99-1.70; p = 0.062): more uncertainty for ILRC (HR = 1.29; 95% CI 0.82-2.03; p = 0.264). Benefit from chemotherapy was similar for patients with high or low HSs, with no interaction between HS and treatment arm. High HS associated with poor ILRC following hypofractionated (n = 90, HR 1.69; 95% CI 0.99-2.89 p = 0.057) but not conventional (n = 207, HR 0.70; 95% CI 0.28-1.80, p = 0.461) radiotherapy. The finding was confirmed in an independent cohort (BCON) where hypoxia associated with a poor prognosis for patients receiving hypofractionated (n = 51; HR 14.2; 95% CI 1.7-119; p = 0.015) but not conventional (n = 24, HR 1.04; 95% CI 0.07-15.5, p = 0.978) radiotherapy.

Tumour hypoxia status does not affect benefit from BC2001 chemotherapy. Hypoxia appears to affect fractionation sensitivity. Use of HSs to personalise treatment needs testing in a biomarker-stratified trial.

Cancer Research UK, NIHR, MRC.

EBioMedicine. 2024 Feb 21 [Epub ahead of print]

Tim A D Smith, Catharine M L West, Nuradh Joseph, Brian Lane, Joely Irlam-Jones, Elisabet More, Hitesh Mistry, Kimberley J Reeves, Yee Pei Song, Mark Reardon, Peter J Hoskin, Syed A Hussain, Helen Denley, Emma Hall, Nuria Porta, Robert A Huddart, Nick D James, Ananya Choudhury

Translational Radiobiology Group, Division of Cancer Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester Cancer Research Centre, Christie NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK; Nuclear Futures Institute, School of Computer Science and Electronic Engineering, Bangor University, Bangor, UK., Translational Radiobiology Group, Division of Cancer Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester Cancer Research Centre, Christie NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK. Electronic address: ., Sri Lanka Cancer Research Group, Maharagama, Sri Lanka., Translational Radiobiology Group, Division of Cancer Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester Cancer Research Centre, Christie NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK., Translational Radiobiology Group, Division of Cancer Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester Cancer Research Centre, Christie NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK; Mount Vernon Cancer Centre, Northwood, London, UK., Department of Oncology and Metabolism, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK., Pathology Centre, Shrewsbury and Telford NHS Trust, Royal Shrewsbury Hospital, Shrewsbury, UK., Institute of Cancer Research, Clinical Trials & Statistics Unit, London, UK., Royal Marsden NHS Trust, Department of Oncology, Downs Road, Sutton, Surrey, England, UK.