Penile cancer and the HPV attributable fraction in Scotland; A retrospective cohort study.

Penile cancer (PeC) is a highly morbid disease which is rising in certain settings including Scotland. A component of PeC is associated with Human Papillomavirus (HPV) although its influence on clinical outcomes is debatable as is whether the fraction attributable to HPV is increasing.

A total of 122 archived tissue samples derived from patients diagnosed with PeC between 2006-2015 were collated and tested for HPV DNA using molecular PCR. HPV positivity was determined for the overall population and by calendar year of diagnosis to determine any temporal trends. The influence of age, deprivation, smoking, tumour stage and tumour grade on likelihood of HPV positivity was determined by logistic regression. In addition, the influence of HPV status and the other clinical and demographics variables on all-cause death and death from PeC was assessed.

HPV was detected in 43 % (95 % CI: 34-52) of penile cancers and the majority of infections were HPV 16. The HPV component of PeC did not increase over the time period (p for linear trend - 0.226). No demographic or clinical variables were associated with HPV positivity neither was HPV status associated with improved all-cause or cancer-specific survival during the follow up period.

The rise in PeC in Scotland may not be attributable to a rise in HPV-associated cancer; this is consistent with oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) in the UK where there is an increase in both HPV positive and negative cancer. This work calls for a larger multi centre study to enable further detailed investigation into the implications of HPV infection in PeC.

Journal of clinical virology : the official publication of the Pan American Society for Clinical Virology. 2020 Dec 13 [Epub ahead of print]

K Cuschieri, J Pan, M O Donnell, K Kirkwood, K Kavanagh, K G Pollock, R Bhatia, S V Graham, K Wakeham

Scottish HPV Reference Laboratory, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, EH16 4SA, Scotland, United Kingdom; HPV Research Group, Queens Medical Research Institute, University of Edinburgh, EH16 4TJ, Scotland, United Kingdom. Electronic address: ., Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Strathclyde University, 26 Richmond Street, Glasgow, G1 1XH, Scotland, United Kingdom., Department of Pathology, Western General Hospital, Crewe Road, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, United Kingdom., School of Health and Life Sciences, Glasgow Caledonian University, G4 6OA, Scotland, United Kingdom., Scottish HPV Reference Laboratory, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, EH16 4SA, Scotland, United Kingdom; HPV Research Group, Queens Medical Research Institute, University of Edinburgh, EH16 4TJ, Scotland, United Kingdom., MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Institute of Infection Immunity and Inflammation, University of Glasgow, G61 1QH, Scotland, United Kingdom., MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Institute of Infection Immunity and Inflammation, University of Glasgow, G61 1QH, Scotland, United Kingdom; Sussex Cancer Centre, Brighton and Sussex University Hospital NHS Trust, 2 Bristol Gate, Brighton, BN2 5BD, United Kingdom.