Immune-combinations have recently become the standard first-line treatment for patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC). This study evaluated the applicability of the International Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma Database Consortium (IMDC) risk model in predicting outcomes for patients treated with either immune-oncologic drug doublet (IO-IO) or immune-oncologic drug tyrosine kinase inhibitor combinations (IO-TKI). A secondary objective to compare the effectiveness of IO-IO versus IO-TKI within the IMDC risk groups over a short follow-up period.
A retrospective analysis was conducted on 172 patients with mRCC treated with first-line immunotherapy combinations. Progression free survival (PFS), time to treatment failure 2 (TTF2), and overall survival (OS) were compared between IMDC risk categories. Model fit was assessed using the c-index. The inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) method was used to adjust and compare outcomes between IO-IO and IO-TKI, except for IMDC favorable risk patients due to the small number of IO-IO cases.
The IMDC risk model demonstrated a c-index of 0.684 (OS) for entire cohort, 0.600 (PFS), 0.596 (TTF2), and 0.624 (OS) for IO-IO, and 0.667 (PFS), 0.702 (TTF2), and 0.751 (OS) for IO-TKI. In the IMDC intermediate and poor risk groups after IPTW adjustment, PFS (HR 0.72), TTF2 (HR 0.67), and OS (HR 0.74) did not significantly differ between IO-IO and IO-TKI. Specifically, in the IMDC intermediate risk group, PFS (HR 0.79), TTF2 (HR 0.69), and OS (HR 0.65) were longer in IO-TKI, though the differences were not statistically significant. In the IMDC poor risk group, PFS (HR 0.76), TTF2 (HR 0.77), and OS (HR 1.03) were comparable.
The impact of IMDC risk model on survival was modest in IO-IO, while remained statistically substantial in IO-TKI. Survival outcomes did not significantly differ between IO-IO and IO-TKI during the short follow-up period.
BMC cancer. 2025 Jan 22*** epublish ***
Masato Kikuta, Sei Naito, Takahiro Osawa, Kazuyuki Numakura, Takafumi Narisawa, Yuki Takai, Mayu Yagi, Yuya Sekine, Ojiro Tokairin, Nobuo Shinohara, Tomonori Habuchi, Norihiko Tsuchiya
Department of Urology, Yamagata University School of Medicine, Iida-Nishi 2-2-2, Yamagata, 990-9585, Japan., Department of Urology, Yamagata University School of Medicine, Iida-Nishi 2-2-2, Yamagata, 990-9585, Japan. ., Department of Renal and Genitourinary Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan., Department of Urology, Akita University Graduate School of Medicine, Akita, Japan.